Scenario Analysis

Scenario Analysis

We developed plausible and adverse scenarios to test how the organisation would withstand specific shocks, and to identify which preventative decisions would mitigate the impact before the scenario materialises.

What we deliver

We construct plausible and adverse scenarios (not just the most likely scenario) to test how the organisation would withstand specific shocks — failure of a critical supplier, regulatory changes, an adverse economic cycle — and to determine which preventive decisions would mitigate the impact before the scenario materialises.

  • Diagnosis and scoping
  • Job description and responsibilities
  • Templates e critérios operacionais
  • Implementation and reporting plan

Why it is relevant

Risk management only creates value when it supports decision-making, prioritisation and accountability.

  • Better prioritisation of resources
  • Greater clarity for management and administration
  • Critical risk management
  • Evidence for the audit and stakeholders

Typical deliverables

The deliverables are designed for practical use, not just for filing.

  • Executive workshop
  • Analysis matrix or model
  • Dashboard or executive report
  • Actions roadmap and owners

Shall we talk about the context?

A 30-minute conversation to assess priorities and draw up a practical plan — together.

Frequently Asked Questions

Common questions about scenario analysis

What is scenario analysis?

It involves constructing plausible narratives about the future — usually a base case, an optimistic scenario and a worst-case scenario — which are used to test the resilience of decisions and plans before they are implemented, rather than to predict the future with precision.

How does the process work?

We work in stages: initial assessment, setting priorities, practical implementation and ongoing monitoring with clear indicators of progress.

How long does it take, and who is involved?

Timeframes vary depending on the size and maturity of the organisation, but the initial assessment usually takes 2 to 4 weeks before we move on to implementation.

Build resilience. Make better decisions.

Let’s assess your priorities and draw up a practical plan — together.